Showing posts with label hyperinflation and real estate investment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label hyperinflation and real estate investment. Show all posts

Thursday, December 5, 2013

HyperInflation



Another great read on finance and economics is Frederick Taylor’s, The Downfall of Money, about Germany’s period of hyperinflation after losing World War I. It is not a pretty picture, as it documents the misery of the German commoner, the destruction of the middle class, and the struggle to survive with inflation eroding the value of Germany’s fiat currency.

Most telling is who Taylor identifies as profiting from Germany’s hyperInflation between WWI and WWII:
“Creditors lost almost everything. By contrast, everyone, broadly speaking, who owed money, had their debt liquidated by inflation. And there were the profiteers and speculators, obviously. People who worked in banks….Investors in stocks and shares – unlike fixed investments, these increased in price along with inflation and over the years in many cases provided an excellent return. Farmers, who could pay off their mortgages and other debts….and who could charge high prices [on the black market] for their produce. And the industrialists …who could borrow money…at low interest and pay it back in depreciated marks. They could also sell in export markets and use the foreign exchange from the sales to buy businesses, properties and other material assists inside Germany….”

There was no safe haven in paper money, annuities, insurance, or rent-controlled real estate. Germany finally climbed out of its inflation by replacing its currency with a new monetary system linked to gold, and with the forgiveness of its remaining debts by other world powers. While Germany’s situation was specific, it was not unique in world history, and perhaps we can learn from their chapter in planning for our own future security.
Me, I still have faith in income-producing real estate, but think I will continue to add a bit of gold to my portfolio, and learn to grow more of my own food….

Happy Investing!

Monday, April 8, 2013

The Biggest, Baddest Loan of All

The tax base of the United States government is currently somewhere between $2-2.5 trillion, according to author David Wiedemer in the book "Aftershock: Protect Yourself and Profit in the Next Global Financial Meltdown."

Yet total government debt has ballooned to $15 trillion and is rising rapidly. This is a debt-to-income ratio of over 7 to 1, which any sane person would consider to be irresponsible. As Wiedemer points out, "a technical default on our huge government debt will have history-making consequences."

While Wiedemer sees gold as an attractive investment in the short term, he admits that "stocks, bonds and real estate have much more intrinsic value than gold, and over time, that reality will dawn on investors...."

Wiedemer goes on to say that "once the Aftershock hits, the servicing of distressed assets and businesses will be an instant and long-term winner....people and companies who will buy, restructure, manage and resell distressed businesses and other assets [will make] huge incomes and profits along the way...."

Keep in mind that people will still need a place to live, whether they rent or own a house. So we are bullish on the opportunities to buy and hold for rent, or buy and rehab houses for short-term income. My business partner and I created a private equity fund, REI Capital, to do just that, and to take advantage of opportunities in today's housing market.

For more information, visit our website at www.reicapitalusa.com